Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 15.528072 17.650865 20.076244 23.078715 26.732652 31.083734 36.731577
2025-06-08 12.434007 14.971908 18.119673 22.393548 28.180095 35.954123 47.582117
2025-06-15 10.877331 13.603523 17.176478 22.351663 29.928364 41.103455 59.899590
2025-06-22 9.440960 12.113491 15.750976 21.265415 29.812579 43.345790 68.354304
2025-06-29 8.308365 10.869334 14.457325 20.094245 29.240330 44.598541 75.389891
2025-07-06 7.506230 9.988508 13.556352 19.344343 29.138894 46.525622 84.296332
2025-07-13 7.594917 10.381246 14.552599 21.682228 34.626221 59.929755 123.629035
2025-07-20 7.308910 10.179284 14.601910 22.451669 37.469602 69.110520 159.137264
2025-07-27 6.782457 9.558487 13.914762 21.837590 37.528636 72.316395 180.377118
2025-08-03 6.569088 9.405532 13.967792 22.546606 40.376793 82.913426 233.882920
2025-08-10 6.198423 8.969689 13.502095 22.221928 40.967501 88.115907 273.399697
2025-08-17 5.879647 8.593880 13.103562 21.971456 41.670975 93.899466 322.297678
2025-08-24 5.593573 8.266420 12.785708 21.893264 42.897120 102.136038 398.047118
2025-08-31 5.251304 7.822764 12.226274 21.261980 42.690873 106.062200 458.774103
2025-09-07 5.025264 7.559895 11.969129 21.222676 43.960278 115.482742 577.976381
2025-09-14 4.690181 7.088670 11.292369 20.210302 42.503597 114.809625 620.655942
2025-09-21 4.371615 6.629604 10.608707 19.117277 40.659428 112.149600 643.716796
2025-09-28 4.127232 6.287938 10.124086 18.416575 39.783901 113.007827 707.847688
2025-10-05 4.247058 6.593135 10.887479 20.598927 47.561696 154.078457 1504.016736
2025-10-12 4.185401 6.567912 11.006760 21.315831 51.265082 180.897315 2500.908587
2025-10-19 3.993036 6.293308 10.609676 20.743733 50.742564 185.760025 3039.861234
2025-10-26 3.936745 6.266130 10.709012 21.404240 54.485053 218.091099 5719.158684
2025-11-02 3.791526 6.065304 10.438349 21.101844 54.850707 230.505545 8198.417415